**Forum Odds Makers League**

_TUF1__TUF1_ Posts: 8,162Free
edited June 2013 in UFC
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Post edited by _TUF1_ on
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My milk shake bring all the boys to the yard, and they're like "Hondas **** is bigger than yours, damn right its bigger than yours." Step to the GOAT 12er and get clapped up knee grows.
http://forums.ufcfightclub.com/discussion/147483/the-official-anderson-silva-got-ktfo-5-stages-of-grief-thread/p1

Tagged:
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Comments

  • PoloRidahPoloRidah Posts: 11,253Free
    I'll play since I was eliminated from the Grand Prix. Why only 10 though?
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    Hendricks 1,2,3,4
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  • wanderleisilva101wanderleisilva101 Posts: 9,364Free
    Sign me up bro!
    Bet Record- 76-43

    UFC Survivor series tournament 1 winner

    It's so cool that my partnership with my best friend and lover Antawn can be recognized as a marriage! DOMA is unconstitutional!

    image image
  • WarWestWarWest Órale VatoPosts: 33,720Free
    Yeah I'm in

    Sign me the **** up hombre
    The Cal Ripken Of GSP hatin'
    Arch Bishop Of Anti-GSP
    The Stockton Hater
    209's So Fine
  • Wanderlei_RuaWanderlei_Rua Posts: 955Free
    Am I allowed to play? Low post count, but I've been on the forum for years
  • Wanderlei_RuaWanderlei_Rua Posts: 955Free
    TUF1 said:

    Am I allowed to play? Low post count, but I've been on the forum for years

    sure will go up to 20 members but i wanted regular posters because if somebody misses their predictions for an event then they're out
    Fair enough. Thanks.
  • wanderleisilva101wanderleisilva101 Posts: 9,364Free
    ^ B-). What if there's a draw or NC tho? :-?
    Bet Record- 76-43

    UFC Survivor series tournament 1 winner

    It's so cool that my partnership with my best friend and lover Antawn can be recognized as a marriage! DOMA is unconstitutional!

    image image
  • bigdw35bigdw35 Chi-TownPosts: 2,796Moderator, Ultimate
    TUF1 said:

    So for my picks, say Barao wins then 0% will be added to my overall %, if he loses 100% will be added and the ranking will be decided by who has the lowest percentage.

    Just so I understand, you are saying Baro will win 100%. So if he wins you get nothing?? And if loses you get 100%?

    Just want to make sure I know what I am doing before throwing my name in.




    "ONLY THING WE HAVE TO FEAR...IS FEAR ITSELF"

  • wanderleisilva101wanderleisilva101 Posts: 9,364Free
    TUF1 said:

    ^ B-). What if there's a draw or NC tho? :-?

    yeah meant to add for any draws or NC's the fight won't affect your score unless it's an eventual failed blood test later. Than the outcome of that fight will still stand on your score.
    Sounds good.
    Bet Record- 76-43

    UFC Survivor series tournament 1 winner

    It's so cool that my partnership with my best friend and lover Antawn can be recognized as a marriage! DOMA is unconstitutional!

    image image
  • Wanderlei_RuaWanderlei_Rua Posts: 955Free
    edited February 2013
    TUF1 said:

    bigdw35 said:

    TUF1 said:

    So for my picks, say Barao wins then 0% will be added to my overall %, if he loses 100% will be added and the ranking will be decided by who has the lowest percentage.

    Just so I understand, you are saying Baro will win 100%. So if he wins you get nothing?? And if loses you get 100%?

    Just want to make sure I know what I am doing before throwing my name in.

    Yes so say based on my picks

    Barao loses
    Swanson loses
    and Manuwa loses

    than my overall score for those 3 fights would be 175%
    Question about that example: Instead of Swanson wins 25%, why wouldn't you put Porier wins 75% and end up with no score? Or is it an amount of risk play?
    Post edited by Wanderlei_Rua on
  • Wanderlei_RuaWanderlei_Rua Posts: 955Free
    What's stopping anyone from picking all the fighters they think will lose at 1% to win, to minimize risk?
  • wanderleisilva101wanderleisilva101 Posts: 9,364Free

    TUF1 said:

    bigdw35 said:

    TUF1 said:

    So for my picks, say Barao wins then 0% will be added to my overall %, if he loses 100% will be added and the ranking will be decided by who has the lowest percentage.

    Just so I understand, you are saying Baro will win 100%. So if he wins you get nothing?? And if loses you get 100%?

    Just want to make sure I know what I am doing before throwing my name in.

    Yes so say based on my picks

    Barao loses
    Swanson loses
    and Manuwa loses

    than my overall score for those 3 fights would be 175%
    Question about that example: Instead of Swanson wins 25%, why wouldn't you put Porier wins 75% and end up with no score?
    Yeah this confused me too.
    Bet Record- 76-43

    UFC Survivor series tournament 1 winner

    It's so cool that my partnership with my best friend and lover Antawn can be recognized as a marriage! DOMA is unconstitutional!

    image image
  • Wanderlei_RuaWanderlei_Rua Posts: 955Free
    TUF1 said:

    It's risk or likelihood that you think an outcome will happen. Just had it all the same to try to make it as easy to understand as possible but I'm starting to confuse myself haha

    So say you have Swanson's chance of winning at 10% and he wins then 90% will be added to your overall score because you didn't give him much of a chance.

    So you're looking to get the lowest overall percentage.

    Makes more sense to me now.
  • SteelerNation43SteelerNation43 Posts: 12,654Free
    still a little confused though. I'll figure it out.
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  • wanderleisilva101wanderleisilva101 Posts: 9,364Free


    Yeah this confused me too.

    you will only bet on one fighter per fight:

    Chances for FIGHTER: X %

    if the bolded guy wins, you will get 100-X %
    if the bolded guy loses, you will get X %

    less %, better.
    Yeah I got it now the Swanson pick messed me up a bit.
    Bet Record- 76-43

    UFC Survivor series tournament 1 winner

    It's so cool that my partnership with my best friend and lover Antawn can be recognized as a marriage! DOMA is unconstitutional!

    image image
  • bigdw35bigdw35 Chi-TownPosts: 2,796Moderator, Ultimate
    TUF1 said:

    bigdw35 said:

    TUF1 said:

    So for my picks, say Barao wins then 0% will be added to my overall %, if he loses 100% will be added and the ranking will be decided by who has the lowest percentage.

    Just so I understand, you are saying Baro will win 100%. So if he wins you get nothing?? And if loses you get 100%?

    Just want to make sure I know what I am doing before throwing my name in.

    Yes so say based on my picks

    Barao loses
    Swanson loses
    and Manuwa loses

    than my overall score for those 3 fights would be 175%
    Now I understand. I thought you were picking him to win. Got it.



    "ONLY THING WE HAVE TO FEAR...IS FEAR ITSELF"

  • SteelerNation43SteelerNation43 Posts: 12,654Free
    Let me see if i could do this right......say these were my picks for the last main card:

    Aldo - 90%
    Rashad - 90%
    Overeem - 100%
    Maia - 60%
    Creepy - 50%

    My overall score would then be - 290%

    Is that correct?

    If so it might be beneficial to go 50% almost every time no?
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  • bigdw35bigdw35 Chi-TownPosts: 2,796Moderator, Ultimate
    edited February 2013
    I agree. Should there not be a total percentage limit? Say I put 100% on each fight on a card? Like SN said you are almost better off going 50% across the board?
    Post edited by bigdw35 on



    "ONLY THING WE HAVE TO FEAR...IS FEAR ITSELF"

  • bigdw35bigdw35 Chi-TownPosts: 2,796Moderator, Ultimate
    I GET IT NOW... IM IN.



    "ONLY THING WE HAVE TO FEAR...IS FEAR ITSELF"

  • amuneraamunera Posts: 1,902Free
    Confusing game is confusing, but I want in anyways, I'll think about it later :P
    Fighter Picks League 4 Champion
    Fav:
    HW: JDS/Nelson LHW: Evans WW: Maia/Sanchez LW: Miller/J-Lau FW:Siver BW TBA FlW: Benavidez

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  • PoloRidahPoloRidah Posts: 11,253Free
    TUF1 said:

    For example. Their will be 15 questions for each round/event so round 1 will look like

    My official picks

    Chance Barao wins: 100%
    Chance Swanson wins: 25%
    Chance Manuwa wins: 50%
    Chance Nelson wins: 90%
    Chance Te Huna wins: 75%
    Chance Mills wins: 100%
    Chance Etim wins: 90%
    Chance Sass wins: 40%
    Chance Ogle wins: 50%
    Chance Watson wins: 15%
    Chance Lee wins: 90%
    Chance Harris wins: 60%
    Chance Te Huna/Jimmo goes the distance: 20%
    Chance of 3 or more fighters from the UK winning: 80%
    Chance of FOTN coming from either main or co-main event: 30%

    I understand how everything is going to work except for the three I bolded. 15 questions for each event. So if there is only 12 fights we have to come up with 3 scenarios of our own?
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    Hendricks 1,2,3,4
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  • PoloRidahPoloRidah Posts: 11,253Free
    TUF1 said:

    PoloRidah said:

    TUF1 said:

    For example. Their will be 15 questions for each round/event so round 1 will look like

    My official picks

    Chance Barao wins: 100%
    Chance Swanson wins: 25%
    Chance Manuwa wins: 50%
    Chance Nelson wins: 90%
    Chance Te Huna wins: 75%
    Chance Mills wins: 100%
    Chance Etim wins: 90%
    Chance Sass wins: 40%
    Chance Ogle wins: 50%
    Chance Watson wins: 15%
    Chance Lee wins: 90%
    Chance Harris wins: 60%
    Chance Te Huna/Jimmo goes the distance: 20%
    Chance of 3 or more fighters from the UK winning: 80%
    Chance of FOTN coming from either main or co-main event: 30%

    I understand how everything is going to work except for the three I bolded. 15 questions for each event. So if there is only 12 fights we have to come up with 3 scenarios of our own?
    No those are the 15 for everyone
    Okay, so you're are going to come up with the "extras" for everyone on each card?
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    Hendricks 1,2,3,4
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  • wanderleisilva101wanderleisilva101 Posts: 9,364Free
    We doing our picks now or waiting till everyone is signed up?
    Bet Record- 76-43

    UFC Survivor series tournament 1 winner

    It's so cool that my partnership with my best friend and lover Antawn can be recognized as a marriage! DOMA is unconstitutional!

    image image
  • PoloRidahPoloRidah Posts: 11,253Free

    My official picks

    Chance Barao wins: 100%
    Chance Swanson wins: 75%
    Chance Manuwa wins: 50%
    Chance Nelson wins: 100%
    Chance Te Huna wins: 50%
    Chance Mills wins: 100%
    Chance Etim wins: 100%
    Chance Sass wins: 50%
    Chance Ogle wins: 0%
    Chance Watson wins: 75%
    Chance Lee wins: 100%
    Chance Harris wins: 75%
    Chance Te Huna/Jimmo goes the distance: 10%
    Chance of 3 or more fighters from the UK winning: 75%
    Chance of FOTN coming from either main or co-main event: 75%
    image
    Hendricks 1,2,3,4
    image


  • wanderleisilva101wanderleisilva101 Posts: 9,364Free
    edited February 2013
    Chance Barao wins: 100%
    Chance Swanson wins: 80%
    Chance Manuwa wins: 55%
    Chance Nelson wins: 100%
    Chance Te Huna wins: 65%
    Chance Mills wins: 100%
    Chance Etim wins: 85%
    Chance Sass wins: 75%
    Chance Ogle wins: 35%
    Chance Watson wins: 20%
    Chance Lee wins: 100%
    Chance Harris wins: 30%
    Chance Te Huna/Jimmo goes the distance: 35%
    Chance of 3 or more fighters from the UK winning: 100%
    Chance of FOTN coming from either main or co-main event: 65%
    Post edited by wanderleisilva101 on
    Bet Record- 76-43

    UFC Survivor series tournament 1 winner

    It's so cool that my partnership with my best friend and lover Antawn can be recognized as a marriage! DOMA is unconstitutional!

    image image
  • TheOvereemTheOvereem Posts: 8,997Free
    edited February 2013
    Sick! I'm in if you haven't 20 people already!
    Post edited by TheOvereem on


    Overeem - Shogun - Mousasi - Manuwa - Bisping - Manhoef - Watson - Daley - Hardy - B.Henderson - McGregor - Pickett

    Train by day, Joe Rogan Podcast by night, all day!

    I am an idiot for thinking GSP could finish the P4P GOAT Nick Diaz within 5 rounds


  • Wanderlei_RuaWanderlei_Rua Posts: 955Free
    TUF1 said:

    Just quote or copy this and fill it in to save confusion

    Chance Barao wins: 100%
    Chance Swanson wins: 60%
    Chance Manuwa wins: 20%
    Chance Nelson wins: 25%
    Chance Te Huna wins: 50%
    Chance Mills wins: 70%
    Chance Etim wins: 100%
    Chance Sass wins: 90%
    Chance Ogle wins: 25%
    Chance Watson wins: 10%
    Chance Lee wins: 100%
    Chance Harris wins: 60%
    Chance Te Huna/Jimmo goes the distance: 0%
    Chance of 3 or more fighters from the UK winning: 100%
    Chance of FOTN coming from either main or co-main event: 10%

  • carnages41carnages41 Posts: 36,252Free
    i'll join, but only if you like this post
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  • carnages41carnages41 Posts: 36,252Free
    bruh, i'm still waiting for the like
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