**Forum Odds Makers League**

_TUF1_

PoloRidah's picks

Odds Henderson wins: 100%
Odds Mir wins: 50%
Odds Diaz wins:75%
Odds Brown wins:50%
Odds Mendes wins:100%
Odds Carmont wins:100%
Odds Nijem wins:0%
Odds Benavidez wins:100%
Odds Means wins:0%
Odds Dillashaw wins:100%
Odds Njokuani wins:100%
Odds Starks wins:75%
Odds Strikeforce fighters (Melendez, Cormier, Thompson, Mein) get atleast 2 wins: 0%
Odds the main event lasts longer than the other 3 fights on the main card combined:25%
Odds the main card fighters combine for a total of 10 or more takedowns:75%

WarWest's picks

Odds Henderson wins: 0%
Odds Mir wins: 0%
Odds Diaz wins: 100%
Odds Brown wins: 100%
Odds Mendes wins: 100%
Odds Carmont wins: 0%
Odds Nijem wins: 100%
Odds Benavidez wins: 100%
Odds Means wins: 0%
Odds Dillashaw wins: 100%
Odds Njokuani wins: 100%
Odds Starks wins: 100%
Odds Strikeforce fighters (Melendez, Cormier, Thompson, Mein) get atleast 2 wins: 100%
Odds the main event lasts longer than the other 3 fights on the main card combined: 0%
Odds the main card fighters combine for a total of 10 or more takedowns: 100%

PATSTER's picks

Odds Henderson wins: 100%
Odds Mir wins: 0%
Odds Diaz wins: 100%
Odds Brown wins: 100%
Odds Mendes wins: 100%
Odds Carmont wins: 0%
Odds Nijem wins: 0%
Odds Benavidez wins: 100%
Odds Means wins: 0%
Odds Dillashaw wins: 100%
Odds Njokuani wins: 100%
Odds Starks wins: 100%
Odds Strikeforce fighters (Melendez, Cormier, Thompson, Mein) get atleast 2 wins: 50%
Odds the main event lasts longer than the other 3 fights on the main card combined: 30%
Odds the main card fighters combine for a total of 10 or more takedowns: 100%

amunera's picks

Odds Henderson wins: 100%
Odds Mir wins: 0%
Odds Diaz wins: 0%
Odds Brown wins: 100%
Odds Mendes wins: 100%
Odds Carmont wins: 0%
Odds Nijem wins: 100%
Odds Benavidez wins: 100%
Odds Means wins: 0%
Odds Dillashaw wins: 100%
Odds Njokuani wins: 100%
Odds Starks wins: 100%
Odds Strikeforce fighters (Melendez, Cormier, Thompson, Mein) get atleast 2 wins: 100%
Odds the main event lasts longer than the other 3 fights on the main card combined: 0%
Odds the main card fighters combine for a total of 10 or more takedowns: 100%

Omoplataypus's picks

Odds Henderson wins: 100%
Odds Mir wins: 0%
Odds Diaz wins: 0%
Odds Brown wins: 100%
Odds Mendes wins: 100%
Odds Carmont wins: 0%
Odds Nijem wins: 50%
Odds Benavidez wins: 100%
Odds Means wins: 0%
Odds Dillashaw wins: 100%
Odds Njokuani wins: 100%
Odds Starks wins: 100%
Odds Strikeforce fighters (Melendez, Cormier, Thompson, Mein) get atleast 2 wins: 100%
Odds the main event lasts longer than the other 3 fights on the main card combined: 0%
Odds the main card fighters combine for a total of 10 or more takedowns: 100%

SolidStateLogic's picks

Odds Henderson wins: 100%
Odds Mir wins: 0%
Odds Diaz wins: 100%
Odds Brown wins: 25%
Odds Mendes wins: 100%
Odds Carmont wins: 100%
Odds Nijem wins: 25%
Odds Benavidez wins: 100%
Odds Means wins: 25%
Odds Dillashaw wins: 100%
Odds Njokuani wins: 100%
Odds Starks wins: 100%
Odds Strikeforce fighters (Melendez, Cormier, Thompson, Mein) get atleast 2 wins: 100%
Odds the main event lasts longer than the other 3 fights on the main card combined: 0%
Odds the main card fighters combine for a total of 10 or more takedowns: 100%

NyteRyder's picks

Odds Henderson wins:100%
Odds Mir wins:100%
Odds Diaz wins:100%
Odds Brown wins:100%
Odds Mendes wins:100%
Odds Carmont wins:100%
Odds Nijem wins:50%
Odds Benavidez wins:100%
Odds Means wins:0%
Odds Dillashaw wins:100%
Odds Njokuani wins:100%
Odds Starks wins:100%
Odds Strikeforce fighters (Melendez, Cormier, Thompson, Mein) get at least 2 wins:35%
Odds the main event lasts longer than the other 3 fights on the main card combined:50%
Odds the main card fighters combine for a total of 10 or more takedowns:0%

wanderleisilva101's picks

Odds Henderson wins: 100%
Odds Mir wins: 0%
Odds Diaz wins: 80%
Odds Brown wins: 20%
Odds Mendes wins: 100%
Odds Carmont wins: 35%
Odds Nijem wins: 0%
Odds Benavidez wins: 100%
Odds Means wins: 30%
Odds Dillashaw wins: 100%
Odds Njokuani wins: 100%
Odds Starks wins: 70%
Odds Strikeforce fighters (Melendez, Cormier, Thompson, Mein) get atleast 2 wins: 80%
Odds the main event lasts longer than the other 3 fights on the main card combined: 30%
Odds the main card fighters combine for a total of 10 or more takedowns: 75%

Carnages41's picks

Odds Henderson wins: 100%
Odds Mir wins: 0%
Odds Diaz wins: 100%
Odds Brown wins: 100%
Odds Mendes wins: 100%
Odds Carmont wins: 50%
Odds Nijem wins: 0%
Odds Benavidez wins: 100%
Odds Means wins: 50%
Odds Dillashaw wins: 100%
Odds Njokuani wins: 100%
Odds Starks wins: 70%
Odds Strikeforce fighters (Melendez, Cormier, Thompson, Mein) get atleast 2 wins: 50%
Odds the main event lasts longer than the other 3 fights on the main card combined: 0%
Odds the main card fighters combine for a total of 10 or more takedowns: 100%

Sobercuban's picks

Odds Henderson wins:100
Odds Mir wins: 60
Odds Diaz wins: 75
Odds Brown wins: 90
Odds Mendes wins: 100
Odds Carmont wins: 80
Odds Nijem wins: 100
Odds Benavidez wins: 100
Odds Means wins: 10
Odds Dillashaw wins: 100
Odds Njokuani wins: 70
Odds Starks wins: 80
Odds Strikeforce fighters (Melendez, Cormier, Thompson, Mein) get atleast 2 wins: 40
Odds the main event lasts longer than the other 3 fights on the main card combined: 0
Odds the main card fighters combine for a total of 10 or more takedowns: 100

wedo619's picks

Odds Henderson wins:100
Odds Mir wins:0
Odds Diaz wins:100
Odds Brown wins:100
Odds Mendes wins:100
Odds Carmont wins:100
Odds Nijem wins:0
Odds Benavidez wins:100
Odds Means wins:100
Odds Dillashaw wins:
Odds Njokuani wins:100
Odds Starks wins:100
Odds Strikeforce fighters (Melendez, Cormier, Thompson, Mein) get atleast 2 wins:100
Odds the main event lasts longer than the other 3 fights on the main card combined:50
Odds the main card fighters combine for a total of 10 or more takedowns:0

bigdw35's picks

Odds Henderson wins:100%
Odds Mir wins:50%
Odds Diaz wins:80%
Odds Brown wins:50%
Odds Mendes wins:100%
Odds Carmont wins:60%
Odds Nijem wins:50%
Odds Benavidez wins:100%
Odds Means wins:60%
Odds Dillashaw wins:80%
Odds Njokuani wins:50%
Odds Starks wins:50%
Odds Strikeforce fighters (Melendez, Cormier, Thompson, Mein) get atleast 2 wins:70%
Odds the main event lasts longer than the other 3 fights on the main card combined:60%
Odds the main card fighters combine for a total of 10 or more takedowns:50%

Wanderlei_Rua's picks

Odds Henderson wins: 100%
Odds Mir wins: 0%
Odds Diaz wins: 0%
Odds Brown wins: 0%
Odds Mendes wins: 100%
Odds Carmont wins: 100%
Odds Nijem wins: 100%
Odds Benavidez wins: 100%
Odds Means wins: 0%
Odds Dillashaw wins: 0%
Odds Njokuani wins: 0%
Odds Starks wins: 100%
Odds Strikeforce fighters (Melendez, Cormier, Thompson, Mein) get atleast 2 wins: 100%
Odds the main event lasts longer than the other 3 fights on the main card combined: 0%
Odds the main card fighters combine for a total of 10 or more takedowns: 0%

the_enigma's picks

Odds Henderson wins: 100%
Odds Mir wins: 0%
Odds Diaz wins: 100%
Odds Brown wins: 0%
Odds Mendes wins: 100%
Odds Carmont wins: 0%
Odds Nijem wins: 0%
Odds Benavidez wins: 100%
Odds Means wins: 0%
Odds Dillashaw wins: 100%
Odds Njokuani wins: 100%
Odds Starks wins: 0%
Odds Strikeforce fighters (Melendez, Cormier, Thompson, Mein) get atleast 2 wins: 100%
Odds the main event lasts longer than the other 3 fights on the main card combined: 0%
Odds the main card fighters combine for a total of 10 or more takedowns: 0%

TheOvereem's picks

Odds Henderson wins: 100%
Odds Mir wins: 0%
Odds Diaz wins: 30%
Odds Brown wins: 0%
Odds Mendes wins: 100%
Odds Carmont wins: 30%
Odds Nijem wins: 20%
Odds Benavidez wins: 100%
Odds Means wins: 100%
Odds Dillashaw wins: 100%
Odds Njokuani wins: 80%
Odds Starks wins: 20%
Odds Strikeforce fighters (Melendez, Cormier, Thompson, Mein) get atleast 2 wins: 100%
Odds the main event lasts longer than the other 3 fights on the main card combined: 20%
Odds the main card fighters combine for a total of 10 or more takedowns: 100%

spartacus_'s picks

Odds Henderson wins: 100%
Odds Mir wins: 0%
Odds Diaz wins: 100%
Odds Brown wins: 100%
Odds Mendes wins: 100%
Odds Carmont wins: 50%
Odds Nijem wins: 0%
Odds Benavidez wins: 100%
Odds Means wins: 0%
Odds Dillashaw wins: 100%
Odds Njokuani wins: 0%
Odds Starks wins: 50%
Odds Strikeforce fighters (Melendez, Cormier, Thompson, Mein) get atleast 2 wins: 0%
Odds the main event lasts longer than the other 3 fights on the main card combined: 0% (good question)
Odds the main card fighters combine for a total of 10 or more takedowns: 100%

TUF1

The game is simple and similar to the game odds makers if you've ever watched the show PTI. For every UFC event, the 20 players in the league will make predictions about the fights and various other questions based on the likelihood of the outcome. For example, using the upcoming Fuel card. One would be "Chance of Renan Barao winning" and each player gives their percentage.

So say you're confident in him winning and say 100%. If he wins then 0% will be added you your overall score. If you think it's a pick em fight and play it safe saying 50% then 50% will be added to your overall score when one loses etc. The player with the lowest overall percentage will lead and it will be updated after every event.

Need 20 players to sign up and reserving spots for the following regular members unless they don't want to take part (Warwest, UFChamp, Sobercuban, G_o_S, Patster, Yesterdays_Hero, enigma )



TUF1's Picks

Chance Barao wins: 100%
Chance Swanson wins: 35%
Chance Manuwa wins: 50%
Chance Nelson wins: 90%
Chance Te Huna wins: 75%
Chance Mills wins: 100%
Chance Etim wins: 90%
Chance Sass wins: 40%
Chance Ogle wins: 50%
Chance Watson wins: 25%
Chance Lee wins: 90%
Chance Harris wins: 60%
Chance Te Huna/Jimmo goes the distance: 40%
Chance of 3 or more fighters from the UK winning: 90%
Chance of FOTN coming from either main or co-main event: 50%

PoloRidah's Picks

Chance Barao wins: 100%
Chance Swanson wins: 75%
Chance Manuwa wins: 50%
Chance Nelson wins: 100%
Chance Te Huna wins: 50%
Chance Mills wins: 100%
Chance Etim wins: 100%
Chance Sass wins: 50%
Chance Ogle wins: 0%
Chance Watson wins: 75%
Chance Lee wins: 100%
Chance Harris wins: 75%
Chance Te Huna/Jimmo goes the distance: 10%
Chance of 3 or more fighters from the UK winning: 75%
Chance of FOTN coming from either main or co-main event: 75%

wanderleisilva101's Picks

Chance Barao wins: 100%
Chance Swanson wins: 80%
Chance Manuwa wins: 55%
Chance Nelson wins: 100%
Chance Te Huna wins: 65%
Chance Mills wins: 100%
Chance Etim wins: 85%
Chance Sass wins: 75%
Chance Ogle wins: 35%
Chance Watson wins: 20%
Chance Lee wins: 100%
Chance Harris wins: 30%
Chance Te Huna/Jimmo goes the distance: 35%
Chance of 3 or more fighters from the UK winning: 100%
Chance of FOTN coming from either main or co-main event: 65%

Wanderlei_Rua's Picks

Chance Barao wins: 100%
Chance Swanson wins: 60%
Chance Manuwa wins: 20%
Chance Nelson wins: 25%
Chance Te Huna wins: 50%
Chance Mills wins: 70%
Chance Etim wins: 100%
Chance Sass wins: 90%
Chance Ogle wins: 25%
Chance Watson wins: 10%
Chance Lee wins: 100%
Chance Harris wins: 60%
Chance Te Huna/Jimmo goes the distance: 0%
Chance of 3 or more fighters from the UK winning: 100%
Chance of FOTN coming from either main or co-main event: 10%

wedo619's Picks

Chance Barao wins: 100
Chance Swanson wins: 100
Chance Manuwa wins: 100
Chance Nelson wins: 100
Chance Te Huna wins: 33
Chance Mills wins:66
Chance Etim wins:50
Chance Sass wins: 100
Chance Ogle wins: 75
Chance Watson wins: 50
Chance Lee wins: 80
Chance Harris wins:50 
Chance Te Huna/Jimmo goes the distance:0 
Chance of 3 or more fighters from the UK winning: 100
Chance of FOTN coming from either main or co-main event:100

PATSTER's Picks

Chance Barao wins: 1%
Chance Swanson wins: 50%
Chance Manuwa wins: 100%
Chance Nelson wins: 100%
Chance Te Huna wins: 80%
Chance Mills wins: 0%
Chance Etim wins: 100%
Chance Sass wins: 100%
Chance Ogle wins: 69%
Chance Watson wins: 10%
Chance Lee wins: 100%
Chance Harris wins: 10%
Chance Te Huna/Jimmo goes the distance: 75%
Chance of 3 or more fighters from the UK winning: 100%
Chance of FOTN coming from either main or co-main event: 100%

Omoplataypus's Picks

Barao wins-22%
Swanson wins-22%
Manure wins-22%
Nelson wins-78%
TE Huna wins-22%
Mills wins-78%
Etim wins-78%
Sass wins-78%
Ogle wins- 22%
Watson wins-78%
Lee wins-78%
Harris wins-78%
Huna/Jimmo distance-22%
3 UK wins-100%
FOTN main or co main-100%

NyteRyder's Picks

Barao wins-100%
Swanson wins-30%
Manuwa wins-90%
Nelson wins-85%
Te Huna wins-75%
Mills wins-100%
Etim wins-100%
Sass wins-25%
Ogle wins- 50%
Watson wins-35%
Lee wins-80%
Harris wins-60%
Te Huna/Jimmo Goes Distance-70%
3 UK wins-100%
FOTN main or co main-90%

Yesterdays_Hero's Picks

Chance Barao wins: 100%
Chance Swanson wins: 80%
Chance Manuwa wins: 70%
Chance Nelson wins: 90%
Chance Te Huna wins: 65%
Chance Mills wins: 70%
Chance Etim wins: 90%
Chance Sass wins: 65%
Chance Ogle wins: 20%
Chance Watson wins: 0%
Chance Lee wins: 90%
Chance Harris wins: 20%
Chance Te Huna/Jimmo goes the distance: 50%
Chance of 3 or more fighters from the UK winning: 100%
Chance of FOTN coming from either main or co-main event: 50%

SolidStateLogic's Picks

Chance Barao wins: 100%
Chance Swanson wins: 30%
Chance Manuwa wins: 100%
Chance Nelson wins: 100%
Chance Te Huna wins: 50%
Chance Mills wins: 100%
Chance Etim wins: 100%
Chance Sass wins: 50%
Chance Ogle wins: 50%
Chance Watson wins: 55%
Chance Lee wins: 90%
Chance Harris wins: 75%
Chance Te Huna/Jimmo goes the distance: 75%
Chance of 3 or more fighters from the UK winning: 100%
Chance of FOTN coming from either main or co-main event: 25%

PoloRidah

I'll play since I was eliminated from the Grand Prix. Why only 10 though?

TUF1

PoloRidah said:

I'll play since I was eliminated from the Grand Prix. Why only 10 though?

yeah gonna open it up to 20 and if non regular members drop out then so be it

wanderleisilva101

Sign me up bro!

WarWest

Yeah I'm in

Sign me the **** up hombre

Wanderlei_Rua

Am I allowed to play? Low post count, but I've been on the forum for years

TUF1

Wanderlei_Rua said:

Am I allowed to play? Low post count, but I've been on the forum for years

sure will go up to 20 members but i wanted regular posters because if somebody misses their predictions for an event then they're out

Wanderlei_Rua

TUF1 said:

Wanderlei_Rua said:

Am I allowed to play? Low post count, but I've been on the forum for years

sure will go up to 20 members but i wanted regular posters because if somebody misses their predictions for an event then they're out

Fair enough. Thanks.

TUF1

For example. Their will be 15 questions for each round/event so round 1 will look like

My official picks

Chance Barao wins: 100%
Chance Swanson wins: 25%
Chance Manuwa wins: 50%
Chance Nelson wins: 90%
Chance Te Huna wins: 75%
Chance Mills wins: 100%
Chance Etim wins: 90%
Chance Sass wins: 40%
Chance Ogle wins: 50%
Chance Watson wins: 15%
Chance Lee wins: 90%
Chance Harris wins: 60%
Chance Te Huna/Jimmo goes the distance: 20%
Chance of 3 or more fighters from the UK winning: 80%
Chance of FOTN coming from either main or co-main event: 30%

TUF1

So for my picks, say Barao wins then 0% will be added to my overall %, if he loses 100% will be added and the ranking will be decided by who has the lowest percentage.

PATSTER

Aight I'm in

Do we follow the same ones you did?

wanderleisilva101

^ B-). What if there's a draw or NC tho? :-?

TUF1

wanderleisilva101 said:

^ B-). What if there's a draw or NC tho? :-?

yeah meant to add for any draws or NC's the fight won't affect your score unless it's an eventual failed blood test later. Than the outcome of that fight will still stand on your score.

bigdw35

TUF1 said:

So for my picks, say Barao wins then 0% will be added to my overall %, if he loses 100% will be added and the ranking will be decided by who has the lowest percentage.

Just so I understand, you are saying Baro will win 100%. So if he wins you get nothing?? And if loses you get 100%?

Just want to make sure I know what I am doing before throwing my name in.

spartacus_

awesome system, tuf1. is there room for one more?

TUF1

bigdw35 said:

TUF1 said:

So for my picks, say Barao wins then 0% will be added to my overall %, if he loses 100% will be added and the ranking will be decided by who has the lowest percentage.

Just so I understand, you are saying Baro will win 100%. So if he wins you get nothing?? And if loses you get 100%?

Just want to make sure I know what I am doing before throwing my name in.

Yes so say based on my picks

Barao loses
Swanson loses
and Manuwa loses

than my overall score for those 3 fights would be 175%

TUF1

Will add up the % difference for each player after every event and whoever has the lowest will lead and so on.

TUF1

spartacus_ said:

awesome system, tuf1. is there room for one more?

yes sir

wanderleisilva101

TUF1 said:

wanderleisilva101 said:

^ B-). What if there's a draw or NC tho? :-?

yeah meant to add for any draws or NC's the fight won't affect your score unless it's an eventual failed blood test later. Than the outcome of that fight will still stand on your score.

Sounds good.

Wanderlei_Rua

TUF1 said:

bigdw35 said:

TUF1 said:

So for my picks, say Barao wins then 0% will be added to my overall %, if he loses 100% will be added and the ranking will be decided by who has the lowest percentage.

Just so I understand, you are saying Baro will win 100%. So if he wins you get nothing?? And if loses you get 100%?

Just want to make sure I know what I am doing before throwing my name in.

Yes so say based on my picks

Barao loses
Swanson loses
and Manuwa loses

than my overall score for those 3 fights would be 175%

Question about that example: Instead of Swanson wins 25%, why wouldn't you put Porier wins 75% and end up with no score? Or is it an amount of risk play?

Wanderlei_Rua

What's stopping anyone from picking all the fighters they think will lose at 1% to win, to minimize risk?

TUF1

It's risk or likelihood that you think an outcome will happen. Just had it all the same to try to make it as easy to understand as possible but I'm starting to confuse myself haha

So say you have Swanson's chance of winning at 10% and he wins then 90% will be added to your overall score because you didn't give him much of a chance.

So you're looking to get the lowest overall percentage.

wanderleisilva101

Wanderlei_Rua said:

TUF1 said:

bigdw35 said:

TUF1 said:

So for my picks, say Barao wins then 0% will be added to my overall %, if he loses 100% will be added and the ranking will be decided by who has the lowest percentage.

Just so I understand, you are saying Baro will win 100%. So if he wins you get nothing?? And if loses you get 100%?

Just want to make sure I know what I am doing before throwing my name in.

Yes so say based on my picks

Barao loses
Swanson loses
and Manuwa loses

than my overall score for those 3 fights would be 175%

Question about that example: Instead of Swanson wins 25%, why wouldn't you put Porier wins 75% and end up with no score?

Yeah this confused me too.

TUF1

Wanderlei_Rua said:

What's stopping anyone from picking all the fighters they think will lose at 1% to win, to minimize risk?

nothing

if you're positive a fighter will lose than you can say 100% on whoever you want.

You could conceivably have an overall score of 0% or 1500% after the first event if you pick in absolutes.

So say I pick

Barao 100%
Swanson 100%
Manuwa 100%
Nelson 100%
Te Huna 100%
Mills 100%

and they all win then so far my overall score is 0% and I'm in the lead

TUF1

So far players are

TUF1
PoloRidah
wanderleisilva101
WarWest
Wanderlei_Rua
PATSTER
Spartacus_

TUF1

sorry ^^^ that's if i pick those fighters to win

spartacus_

wanderleisilva101 said:

Yeah this confused me too.

you will only bet on one fighter per fight:

Chances for FIGHTER: X %

if the bolded guy wins, you will get 100-X %
if the bolded guy loses, you will get X %

less %, better.

Wanderlei_Rua

TUF1 said:

It's risk or likelihood that you think an outcome will happen. Just had it all the same to try to make it as easy to understand as possible but I'm starting to confuse myself haha

So say you have Swanson's chance of winning at 10% and he wins then 90% will be added to your overall score because you didn't give him much of a chance.

So you're looking to get the lowest overall percentage.

Makes more sense to me now.

SteelerNation43

Sounds like fun, im in.

SteelerNation43

still a little confused though. I'll figure it out.