alexbond Posted August 27, 2009 Report Share Posted August 27, 2009 After studying tape of Machida and Shogun I decided to make an analysis of how I think the fight could potentially turn out. Of course there are many possible outcomes but some are much more probable than others. Section 1 is about the strengths of both fighters. Section 2 is about how each fighter could potentially win the fight. Section 1 Machida’s advantages: He has never been defeated not only has he never been defeated he has never been in serious trouble in a fight, so there is no sure method to victory against him. His striking is unorthodox so he is difficult to prepare for (this is the main reason for why he is so elusive). He has been training martial arts since he was 3 so he has great feel for how fighting works, this is why his timing is so awesome (The second reason he is so elusive). He has very tricky foot sweeps which he throws in quite nicely to throw off his opponents timing, this maybe his key to victory. He has an underrated ground game. And finally he has very quick and precise strikes. Shogun’s advantages: He is a superior athlete, meaning he is faster, stronger, and more powerful; in a word he is more explosive. He has superior Muay Thai which helps him transition from striking to clinch and making him better in the clinch. He has unbelievable recovery time. He has the most effective kicks in MMA, not lightening quick like Machida’s but far more powerful. His BJJ is world class. And finally his biggest advantage coming into the fight I believe is his aggressive style, because he will take a shot to deliver one, while his shots do more damage, that combined with his outstanding chin makes him wrecking machine, ask Rampage. Section 2 Machida can win this fight in a few ways. First because he is still somewhat of an enigma (due to the fact he has never had to use his full set of skills) Shogun may not be prepared for Machida’s full arsenal; so it seems a possible way of victory for Machida is in dominant fashion with some crazy new moves nobody has ever seen, but I doubt it. A more realistic method of victory is for Machida to win rounds by throwing Shogun’s timing off using foot sweeps and scoring points with his quick strikes. It is also possible that he will simply outpoint and possibly KO Shogun with strikes, however, this is a dangerous method because of Shogun’s power but if Machida’s skills are on a different level (which I doubt) then this could work. Shogun can win this fight in many ways. He can simply keep the fight standing and use leg kicks to Machida’s lead foot which is in perfect position to get mauled, this will become a withering effect, causing Machida’s movement and power to be more and more debilitated as the fight goes on, eventually leading to a power shot connecting and dropping Machida. Another technique that Shogun can use is clinching, though I believe this is dangerous because of Machida’s sweeps even though Shogun may have the advantage in delivering damage he can quickly find himself out of position. And finally Shogun can go to the ground; this would make the fight the most variable, I don’t really know how good Machida is on the ground but I do know Shogun is extremely good so I would think he has the advantage there. How do you think the fight will go down? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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